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The Population Bust Is Coming Sooner Than Anyone Is Prepared For
July 12, 2026/
What evidence supports these predictions? Birthrates have fallen almost continuously for nearly 20 years, an entire generation. They have fallen through good economies and bad, through Republican administrations and Democratic ones, through every tax credit and child-care subsidy.
The reason I can tell you now that the population will peak in the 2050s is precisely because I am describing the path we are on if nothing changes. We can try to prevent this from happening.
Dr. Stone is the director of the Pronatalism Initiative at the Institute for Family Studies and the director of research for the consulting firm Demographic Intelligence.
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