Lyft's John Zimmer shares his vision for autonomous transportation future
|September 19, 2016||View for printing|
By 2025, private car ownership in US cities will "all-but end."
There will be fewer cars sitting parked and empty and therefore less need for parking spaces.
By Stu Robarts
While I agree and look forward to autonomous cars being a part of everyday life, I don't see it radically changing the need for parking space in the next 20+ years. People have invested in their current vehicles and as the market for personally driven vehicles declines, so will the value of trade-ins or person-to-person sales. Therefore; I suggest that people will continue to drive what they have until it is no longer practical due to functionality and/or cost of repair. I think Mr. Zimmer is being extremely over optimistic - as he should be if he plans to eventually reach his goal. I just think his timing is off and the future he sees doesn't take into account the reluctance of people to take a loss in order to change lifestyles
What if the chances of dying on the roads goes down 99+% by having an autonomous car not to mention the associated costs of owning a car that sits for 95% of the time? No parking. No traffic tickets. No garage needed. No repair costs. No depreciation cost. There's also the fact that young drivers don't want to bother with driving and older drivers won't be able to drive. Add in the amount of time wasted driving when you could be doing other things like reading, sleeping etc....
I think the lost opportunity and safety cost of owing a car is going to make resale value a mute issue as there will be little, if any resale value very quickly.
Russ - No argument with what you said. However, many people will be still making payments on their current vehicles, which is motivation to use them most times when transportation is needed. Additionally, an automobile purchase (new or used late model) is the second largest investment of their lives - unlike some of us. Taking a hit that large when (not if) resale values go down is a huge emotional issue. Again, I only think the timing is off in the article, not the concept.
Probably later than I envision and sooner than you do... somewhere in the middle but it's coming fast and communities need to start planning now, not building the same car focused things we always have. The future will be radically different.
Lyft president John Zimmer is right: Private car ownership needs to die
By and large, humans are terrible drivers. The sobering reality of the 1.3 million dead each year in automobile accidents is proof of that.
"It may shock you, but Americans spend more than $2 trillion every year on car ownership ? more money than we spend on food. What?s even more staggering is that for all the money we spend on them, the 250 million cars in America are only occupied 4% of the time.
That?s the equivalent of 240 million of the 250 million cars being parked at all times. For the most part, your car isn?t actually a driving machine at all. It?s a parking machine."
According to his manifesto, there are 700 million parking spaces in the US. If each space was joined together, it would create an asphalt landmass bigger than the state of Connecticut.
by Matthew Hughes
http://thenextweb.com/insider/2016/0 ... o-die/#gref
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